Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 12.259107 13.646497 15.142007 16.876395 18.835588 20.983697 23.522122
2025-07-27 10.413865 12.346751 14.581306 17.366059 20.757999 24.773570 29.914392
2025-08-03 8.803165 11.012303 13.724065 17.321651 22.004812 27.943037 36.119892
2025-08-10 7.527554 9.866767 12.893055 17.137001 23.001487 30.917184 42.576189
2025-08-17 6.520410 8.905129 12.137043 16.900091 23.847333 33.776851 49.345727
2025-08-24 5.747425 8.143074 11.528210 16.747047 24.745721 36.800929 56.845924
2025-08-31 5.150192 7.543743 11.056888 16.702000 25.760745 40.109286 65.333645
2025-09-07 4.766415 7.204127 10.913200 17.113607 27.513959 44.803971 76.912622
2025-09-14 4.326208 6.721551 10.483737 16.998098 28.367686 48.114650 86.672798
2025-09-21 3.901845 6.213716 9.949892 16.628492 28.714484 50.567603 95.273721
2025-09-28 3.579568 5.835462 9.581491 16.485017 29.421967 53.746694 105.837772
2025-10-05 3.417755 5.706930 9.615841 17.050557 31.499434 59.806626 123.440676
2025-10-12 3.256186 5.567795 9.626023 17.592304 33.652436 66.457033 143.966180
2025-10-19 3.066371 5.359233 9.489123 17.837808 35.257274 72.269054 163.974603
2025-10-26 2.836191 5.054422 9.142423 17.627383 35.889609 76.109881 180.214371
2025-11-02 2.621337 4.757425 8.779530 17.338118 36.309733 79.549895 196.284161
2025-11-09 2.427739 4.482661 8.431581 17.036212 36.656435 82.879379 212.886952
2025-11-16 2.265519 4.253802 8.151299 16.843574 37.222843 86.834772 232.210250
2025-11-23 2.131342 4.068159 7.939632 16.774439 38.068370 91.634928 255.219032
2025-11-30 2.053154 3.987984 7.936849 17.172757 40.106386 99.886642 290.890942
2025-12-07 1.934437 3.813898 7.718780 17.047316 40.815728 104.721479 317.183666
2025-12-14 1.804996 3.606535 7.409858 16.670726 40.823442 107.619315 337.932498
2025-12-21 1.705105 3.453666 7.205982 16.523257 41.414437 112.294521 366.175875